Weathering Risk: Climate Analysis and Action for Peace

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Janani Vivekananda

Head of Programme Climate Diplomacy and Security

The climate crisis poses an urgent, pervasive risk to peace and stability around the world. Climate impacts, including flooding, extreme heat and drought can undermine wellbeing and livelihoods and also cause widespread displacement. These dynamics can contribute to reduced social cohesion and increased conflict and insecurity.

In view of these challenges, policy-makers and practitioners need comprehensive information on the risks that climate change poses to human security and the means to build resilience. Context specific analysis and tailored assistance at policy and operational levels can improve understanding of climate-related security risks and the capacity to respond to them.

The multilateral Weathering Risk initiative offers analysis and tools to better understand climate-related risks to human security and integrates climate and environmental security into peace programming in critically affected regions.

Climate change is a risk to peace. Evidence-based responses can help weather the storm.

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Weathering Risk is led by an interdisciplinary project team at adelphi. With assessments, tools, trainings, and dialogues, we inform policy, facilitate risk-informed planning, build capacities among decision-makers, and improve operational responses to promote climate resilience and peace.

Weathering Risk includes a Peace Pillar in which adelphi leads a consortium of peacebuilding experts, consisting of the Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue, the European Institute for Peace and the Berghof Foundation. The Peace Pillar integrates climate and environmental security into peace programming in regions severely at risk of the compound effects of climate change and conflict.

Scientific analysis to inform policymaking

Weathering Risk combines state-of-the-art climate security impact data and expert conflict analysis to bridge the gaps in our understanding of climate change impacts on peace and security. It provides analysis, capacity support tools, dialogues and trainings to promote peace and resilience in a changing climate.

The Weathering Risk team developed a replicable climate security risk and foresight assessment methodology that can be applied to various geographies and depths of analysis. Our forward-looking approach uses spatially disaggregated climate impact data, scenarios, combines qualitative and quantitative research and identifies entry points to facilitate policies and interventions that are informed by climate-security risks.

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Weathering Risk

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Integrating climate and environmental security into peace programming

In partnership with leading peacebuilding organisations, the Weathering Risk Peace Pillar implements projects which integrate climate and environmental security into peace programming in regions severely affected by conflict and climate risks. Guided by the analytical approach of Weathering Risk, the Peace Pillar translates climate security foresight and analysis into peacebuilding action where it is needed most. Five projects, spanning a diverse range of climate-related security risks and opportunities for peace are currently being implemented in the Bay of Bengal, Iraq, Nigeria, Somalia, and Yemen.

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Finding sustainable solutions for peace requires integrating climate resilience into peace programming.

To better understand the value of integrated peace programming, the Peace Pillar monitors and evaluates the impact of its projects on peace and climate resilience. Through and from implementation, the Peace Pillar aims to share and elevate evidence-based recommendations on mainstreaming climate security to support sustainable peace processes. adelphi leads and coordinates the consortium, providing guidance, knowledge management, trainings, and evaluation expertise to advance integrated programming in the regions of implementation and inform programming globally.

A comprehensive collection of Weathering Risk publications is available here.

This project is a continuation of the previous Weathering Risk: Promoting peace and resilience in a changing climate project. Available here.

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Weathering Risk Peace Pillar

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Fields of Action

Climate & Security